west
to east, the winds drag warm air from the south ahead (i.e., to the east) of the low-pressure
centers. When this warm air meets colder air, such as was present across New England
on June 3 and 4, the warm air slowly rises, resulting in steady rain and occasionally
in thunderstorms. While these warm fronts are usually benign, lows are often followed
by sharp cold fronts, due to the winds pulling cold air from the north. It is cold
fronts that most often cause thunderstorms and tornadoes, as the sudden influx of
cold air causes the existing warm air to rise quickly.
Highly unseasonable, frigid air lurked behind the cold front of the low that crossed
the Great Lakes on June 5. In a weather pattern more typical of winter than summer,
a polar high-pressure system was following the low. In summer, Arctic air is usually
contained north of Hudson Bay by the subpolar jet stream: strong westerly winds high
in the troposphere that effectively form a barrier to weather systems. Occasional
southward excursions of this jet stream in winter can produce frigid, but often clear
days across the Great Plains and Eastern United States. First in May and then again
in June 1816, however, the jet stream dipped far to the south, forming a U-shape and
allowing Arctic air to flow from northern Canada as far south as the Carolinas. The
collision of this air with the warm, moist air masses that normally prevail in New
England and eastern Canada produced powerful storms.
Limited weather observations from the early nineteenth century and the chaotic nature
of the atmosphere make it difficult to determine with certainty why the jet stream
moved so far south. One explanation is that a broad area of high pressure, a “blocking
high,” had developed in late May in the central Atlantic. These systems impede the
normal west-to-east flow of the jet stream, causing it to shift north and south to
avoid the block. The effect then cascades backwards and forwards along the jet stream
in waves, disrupting the jet stream for thousands of miles in each direction and forming
the type of U-shaped bends that affected eastern North America in 1816. As with water
moving through a clogged pipe, the block slows the movement of weather systems, stagnating
the weather and allowing extreme conditions to persist for longer than they might
otherwise. A slow, meandering jet stream is consistent with the impact of Tambora’s
aerosol cloud on the North Atlantic Oscillation—a weak polar vortex and frequent incursions
of Arctic air into the middle latitudes—in the summer of 1816. The aerosol cloud did
not necessarily cause the early June storm that struck New England, but the stratospheric
veil almost certainly cooled the air behind the storm and set the atmospheric circulation
pattern that allowed the air to penetrate so unseasonably far south.
When the low-pressure center and its trailing cold front passed Lake Erie on June
5, several Royal Navy ships stationed there reported strong northwesterly gales as
the polar air rushed in. In New Brunswick, central Ontario, the noontime temperature
was only 30 degrees. Thunderstorms formed where the air moving behind the cold front
began to meet the air brought in by the warm front, bringing heavy rain to western
New York and southern Ontario. The low-pressure center continued to move east, while
the subpolar jet slipped ever farther south.
Late on the morning of June 6, the cold front and its powerful northwest wind suddenly
struck Quebec, turning rain to snow. For more than an hour, snow fell thickly on the
city streets. When the sky cleared in the afternoon, residents could see the mountaintops
to the north covered with snow, “the most distant apparently to the depth of a foot.”
Flocks of birds hitherto found only deep in the forest swarmed into the city in search
of warmth, “and were to be met with in every street,” reported the
Skye Malone, Megan Joel Peterson